Two Pairs of Averages + MACD: A Trend Following System

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Two Pairs of Averages + MACD: A Trend Following System

The “Two Pairs of Averages + MACD” strategy is a comprehensive trend-following system designed for H4 and Daily timeframes. It utilizes four Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) grouped into two pairs—a “Signal Pair” for entries and a “Trend Pair” for filtering direction—along with the MACD to confirm momentum.

Strategy Profile

Timeframes

H4, D1

Pairs

All Pairs

Indicators

4 EMAs + MACD

1. Indicator Setup

This strategy requires a specific configuration of Exponential Moving Averages to define both the trend and the entry signal:

  • Signal Pair (Fast): EMA 5 and EMA 15. (Used for crossovers).
  • Trend Pair (Slow): EMA 50 and EMA 100. (Used as a trend filter).
  • Momentum: MACD (Settings: 12, 26, 9).

2. Long Entry (Buy) Rules

Execute a buy trade when the short-term momentum aligns with the long-term trend:

  1. Trend Filter: The price must be located ABOVE both the EMA 50 and EMA 100.
  2. Crossover: The EMA 5 crosses the EMA 15 from bottom to top.
  3. Confirmation: The MACD histogram is in the positive zone (above zero).

Note: Do not trade if the price is trapped between EMA 50 and EMA 100.

Two Pairs of Average MACD Buy Strategy
Figure 1: Buy Signal – Fast EMA cross above Slow EMA filter

3. Short Entry (Sell) Rules

Execute a sell trade when the following conditions are met:

  1. Trend Filter: The price must be located BELOW both the EMA 50 and EMA 100.
  2. Crossover: The EMA 5 crosses the EMA 15 from top to bottom.
  3. Confirmation: The MACD histogram is in the negative zone (below zero).
Two Pairs of Average MACD Sell Strategy
Figure 2: Sell Signal – Fast EMA cross below Slow EMA filter

Trade Management

Stop Loss

Place SL at the level of the EMA 50 line.

Take Profit

H4: 60 pts (EURUSD), 70 pts (GBPUSD).
D1: 200 pts (EURUSD), 250 pts (GBPUSD).

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